Four decades of economic growth have transformed China from an agrarian society to an increasingly urbanised one, dragging millions out of poverty along the way. As its middle class continues to grow, experts expect China’s economy to become less dependent on manufacturing and more on domestic consumption.
Ultimately, that should lead to a greater number of consumer goods being imported into China. This trend is already underway, and has been for some time, especially among producers of premium products. High-end fashion houses in Europe and premium wine and spirit producers across the world have reported significant growth in their China sales over the past decade, while producers of meat and dairy products – especially infant formula – have also benefited.
The shift of focus to consumption may also have an impact on Chinese exports. Following the pattern of other developed economies, there is likely to be an increased focus on high-end manufacturing while rising wealth and incomes may undermine China’s competitive advantage in lower-value exports like textiles.