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Rude awakenings this morning
Many Asian traders went to bed last night with smiles on their faces only to wake this morning and be swarmed by a sea of red from a late session NY equities sell-down. Earlier on in the Asian trading day, major Indices here enjoyed fierce rebounds that were carried through to European stocks. Further, a late day PBOC move to cut rates and RRR added fuel to the ‘rebound’ fire with the DOW opening up close to 400 point, or almost 3%. By close though, all gains from the day’s earlier rebound vanished with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq ending sharply lower in the red. The common reason explained for this late day sell-down points to Asian markets today, in particular, on how Chinese stocks will react today to last night’s PBOC move. All of a sudden, China and the performance of the Chinese markets have now taken the lead in determining daily direction for trading in stocks worldwide. In cycling terminology, China Indices are now playing the role of the lead-out rider, while the other global equity markets are simply drafting in from behind the lead ‘rider’. Rate cut or not, the only certainty this morning is the even longer sheets of clients faced with margin calls. With the crippling 7% (approximate) consecutive plunges we have seen these past 2 days, getting clients to ‘top up’ margin accounts could be the huge challenge for brokers across Chinese cities this morning. A tall order that even the lowering of lending rates will not be of much help! What follows is the inevitable ‘closing out’ or forced selling – a daily event we are starting to become all too familiar with. With confidence in the markets completely shattered, the likelihood of buyers meeting these intermittent bouts of forced selling may just be few and far in-between.
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