Two factors supporting emerging markets are worth watching:
A weaker US dollar: The US dollar fell around 9.4% in 2025, one of its weakest years in some time. When the dollar declines, emerging market currencies often strengthen, which can lift local sharemarkets and boost returns for global investors. It also makes US dollar-denominated debt cheaper to repay, easing financial pressure. In simple terms, a weaker dollar can act as a tailwind for emerging market assets.
Stronger earnings growth: According to State Street, analysts expect emerging market companies to grow earnings per share by around 21% this year, compared with roughly 15% in the US and 13% in other developed markets. Earnings per share, or EPS, measures how much profit a company makes for each share. Faster earnings growth can support higher share prices over time. The stronger profit outlook in emerging markets may help explain why some investors are allocating capital there.
Risk factor: Emerging markets can be more volatile than developed markets for several reasons. They are generally smaller in size and may be more reliant on foreign capital flows. Political changes, currency fluctuations, and shifts in global investor confidence can move these markets quickly. Even when economic growth forecasts appear strong, investment returns may still be uneven and less predictable.
What it may signal: The increase in emerging markets exposure could suggest some investors are identifying rotation opportunities beyond the US, particularly in regions benefiting from structural tailwinds such as AI-linked supply chains and commodity strength. Rather than a blanket move, the positioning appears targeted at markets leveraged to global growth themes.
Mega-cap dominance persists
While AI infrastructure has emerged as the dominant thematic narrative, a significant share of capital from large players continues to flow into mega-cap technology. On a total value basis, the Magnificent Seven remain among the most heavily bought stocks by large institutional investors.
Three companies in particular received notable attention:
Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL)
Stanley Druckenmiller increased his Alphabet position by more than 270%.
Berkshire Hathaway continues to hold a meaningful Alphabet position at around 2% of its portfolio, with no major new activity this quarter.
Viking Global established a new Alphabet position, representing roughly 2% of its portfolio.
Amazon (AMZN)
Bill Ackman increased his Amazon position by approximately 65%, making it one of his largest additions for the quarter.
Seth Klarman initiated a new position in Amazon, which now represents 9.28% of his fund and ranks as his second-largest holding.
Stanley Druckenmiller added close to 69% to his Amazon stake.
Meta Platforms (META)
Bill Ackman initiated a new Meta position, now accounting for approximately 11.4% of his portfolio.
David Tepper increased his Meta exposure by around 62%, bringing it to roughly 5.8% of his fund.
Risk factor: Heavy capital expenditure does not automatically translate into higher returns. If AI investments take longer than expected to generate revenue, or if competitive pressures compress margins, earnings growth could disappoint. There is also the broader risk of technological disruption, regulatory pressure or slower digital advertising and cloud growth. Large platforms may be dominant today, but they are not immune to execution risk.
What this may signal: Recent buying in Alphabet, Amazon and Meta may suggest that some fund managers still see leadership concentrated within a smaller group of dominant platforms, what some are calling a shift from the “Magnificent Seven” to a more focused “Mag Three”. All three companies are guiding to aggressive 2026 capital expenditure plans, signalling continued investment in AI infrastructure, cloud and data capabilities. For investors, this may indicate that scale, balance sheet strength and the ability to fund AI internally remain key differentiators.
What the smart money bought last quarter
Quarterly buying totals from DATAROMA, which tracks 79 value-focused investors, show concentrated buying in big tech during Q4 2025.
Symbol | Stock | Buys |
MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | 16 |
AMZN | Amazon.com Inc. | 11 |
META | Meta Platforms Inc. | 10 |
V | Visa Inc. | 9 |
TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor S.A. | 8 |
GOOG | Alphabet Inc. CL C | 7 |
RKT | Rocket Companies Inc. | 6 |
LYV | Live Nation Inc. | 6 |
NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | 6 |
GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | 6 |
TXN | Texas Instruments | 6 |
FERG | Ferguson Enterprises Inc. | 6 |
DASH | DoorDash Inc. | 5 |
UNP | Union Pacific | 5 |
FISV | Fiserv Inc. | 5 |
A note on 13F filings
While 13F filings provide valuable transparency into institutional positioning, they have limitations. Filings are backward-looking and reflect holdings at quarter end, not current exposure.
In some cases, reported positions may reflect tactical trades rather than long term conviction. As such, 13F data is best used to identify themes, not as a standalone signal.
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