How to invest in Anthropic in Australia: IPO timing, valuation and risks

9 minute read
|8 Sept 2026
Anthropic logo with face
Table of contents
  • 1.
    What is Anthropic? 
  • 2.
    How does Anthropic make money? 
  • 3.
    Has Anthropic announced an IPO? 
  • 4.
    How to invest in Anthropic in Australia: A step-by-step guide
  • 5.
    What could Anthropic be worth? 
  • 6.
    What could influence the investment case? 
  • 7.
    Key risks for investors 
  • 8.
    How to assess Anthropic after it lists 
  • 9.
    How to get exposure to the AI sector 
  • 10.
    Summary 

Anthropic, the artificial intelligence company behind Claude, has confidentially submitted a draft registration statement to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. This gives the company the option to proceed with an initial public offering, although no final IPO date, share price or number of shares has been announced. 

Here is what investors should know about Anthropic’s potential IPO, including the company’s business model, reported valuations, competitive position and the risks associated with investing in a fast-growing AI company. 

What is Anthropic? 

Anthropic is an AI company founded in 2021 by siblings Dario and Daniela Amodei, both former OpenAI executives. The company develops large language models and AI products with a stated focus on safety, reliability and controllability. 

Its main product is Claude, an AI assistant designed to help users with tasks including: 

  • Writing and editing 

  • Coding 

  • Research and analysis 

  • Data processing 

  • Customer service 

  • Business productivity 

Anthropic competes with OpenAI, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and a growing number of specialist AI companies. 

How does Anthropic make money? 

Anthropic generates revenue through several channels: 

  • API access, allowing businesses to integrate Claude into their own applications 

  • Claude Pro and Team subscriptions 

  • Enterprise agreements 

  • Strategic partnerships with technology companies and cloud providers 

The company’s long-term investment case depends on whether it can convert strong demand for AI services into recurring revenue and sustainable profits. 

Revenue growth alone may not be enough. Investors will also need to assess customer retention, pricing power, computing costs, operating margins and the cost of developing increasingly powerful models. 

Has Anthropic announced an IPO? 

Anthropic has not announced a final listing date, IPO price range or exchange. 

However, the company confirmed on 1 June 2026 that it had confidentially submitted a draft Form S-1 registration statement to the SEC. This is an important step in the IPO process, but it does not guarantee that a listing will occur. Anthropic said that any offering would depend on market conditions and other factors. Read the company’s announcement

The eventual prospectus should provide investors with more detailed information about: 

  • Revenue and revenue growth 

  • Operating losses and cash flow 

  • Capital expenditure 

  • Computing and infrastructure commitments 

  • Major customers 

  • Share ownership 

  • Corporate governance 

  • Risks facing the business 

Until that information is made public, estimates about Anthropic’s value and future profitability should be treated cautiously. 

How to invest in Anthropic in Australia: A step-by-step guide

  1. Open an account with CMC Invest: If you don’t already invest with us, you can open a CMC Invest account in under 10 minutes using your TFN, ID and bank details. Once your account is funded, you’re ready to start investing.

  2. Monitor upcoming listings: You can keep track of companies planning to IPO such as Anthropic by following publicly available information. This may include:

  3. Invest in the stock once it lists: Once Anthropic lists and becomes available on the CMC Invest platform, you’ll be able to trade its shares. Read our guide on how CMC Invest handles IPOs for more information on the listing process.

  4. Monitor your investment: Once you’ve added Anthropic to your portfolio, you can monitor its performance over time. Within the platform, you can use the TradingView charting integration to view price movements and historical data. You can also follow publicly available company updates, announcements, financial reports and earnings releases as they become available.

What could Anthropic be worth? 

Anthropic has raised capital from several large technology companies and institutional investors, including Google and Salesforce Ventures. Media reports have placed its private-market valuation at various levels, but these estimates should not be treated as an indication of the eventual IPO price. 

A private valuation is negotiated between a company and a limited group of investors. A public share price is established through open-market trading and can change substantially as new information becomes available. 

Private valuation 

Public market valuation 

Negotiated between selected investors 

Determined by market supply and demand 

Often based on expected future growth 

Influenced by earnings, cash flow and market sentiment 

Shares are generally illiquid 

Shares can usually be bought and sold on an exchange 

May include preferential investor rights 

Depends on the rights attached to each share class 

The IPO valuation will depend on Anthropic’s reported financial results, expected growth, the strength of investor demand and the valuations assigned to comparable AI companies. 

What could influence the investment case? 

Revenue growth 

The AI market is expanding rapidly, but investors will need to determine whether Anthropic’s growth is durable. 

Important questions may include: 

  • How quickly is enterprise revenue growing? 

  • How much revenue comes from a small number of major customers? 

  • Are customers increasing their usage over time? 

  • Can Anthropic raise prices as its models improve? 

  • How much revenue comes from subscriptions compared with API usage? 

Strong initial demand may not automatically translate into long-term revenue growth if customers can switch between competing AI models. 

Profitability 

Developing and operating advanced AI models requires significant investment in data centres, specialised chips, energy and research staff. 

Anthropic may continue to report substantial losses even if revenue grows quickly. Investors should pay close attention to: 

  • Gross margins 

  • Cash burn 

  • Research and development costs 

  • Infrastructure commitments 

  • The cost of serving each customer 

  • The timeframe for reaching profitability 

The central question is whether Anthropic can eventually generate enough revenue from its products to cover the cost of developing and operating them. 

Competitive position 

Anthropic operates in one of the most competitive areas of the technology sector. 

Its competitors include: 

  • OpenAI

  • Alphabet 

  • Microsoft 

  • Meta 

  • Amazon 

  • xAI 

  • Chinese AI companies 

  • Open-source AI developers 

These businesses have access to substantial financial resources, technical talent, computing capacity and existing customer relationships. 

Claude may be highly competitive today, but the industry is evolving quickly. Investors will need to consider whether Anthropic can maintain its position as new models, products and open-source alternatives emerge. 

Strategic partnerships 

Anthropic has developed partnerships with major technology companies, including Amazon and Google. 

These relationships may provide access to cloud infrastructure, distribution and capital. However, they may also create dependencies. Investors should assess whether Anthropic has sufficient control over its infrastructure, customer relationships and technology ecosystem. 

Anthropic’s corporate structure and governance 

Anthropic is structured as a public benefit corporation and has placed significant emphasis on the responsible development of AI. 

The company’s governance model is designed to balance commercial objectives with its longer-term mission. This may appeal to investors who place importance on AI safety and corporate responsibility. 

However, the structure could also create tensions between: 

  • Long-term safety objectives and short-term financial performance 

  • Management decisions and shareholder expectations 

  • Investment in research and the need to reduce losses 

  • Commercial opportunities and restrictions designed to manage AI risks 

Investors should examine the prospectus carefully to understand voting rights, board appointments, share classes and the influence of any external governance body. 

Key risks for investors 

Valuation risk 

AI companies may attract high valuations based on expectations of future growth rather than current earnings. 

If Anthropic’s growth slows, margins disappoint or investor sentiment towards AI weakens, the share price could fall even if the company continues to expand. 

Profitability risk 

High revenue growth does not guarantee profitability. Computing, energy, staffing and research costs may remain elevated as Anthropic develops more advanced models. 

Competition risk 

A competitor could produce a more capable, cheaper or more widely adopted AI model. Large technology companies may also bundle AI products with existing software, making it harder for Anthropic to compete independently. 

Regulatory risk 

Governments are developing rules covering AI safety, privacy, copyright, competition and corporate accountability. 

New regulation could increase costs, restrict product development or affect how Anthropic collects and uses data. 

Technology risk 

AI systems can produce inaccurate, biased or harmful outputs. Security failures or misuse of AI models could lead to reputational damage, legal claims, customer losses or tighter regulation. 

Anthropic recently reported incidents involving Claude models gaining unauthorised access to computer systems during external testing. The company said it had introduced additional safeguards and was conducting further reviews. Read Anthropic’s update

IPO risk 

Newly listed companies can experience significant price movements as investors reassess their growth prospects, valuation and financial performance. 

The IPO price may not reflect the price at which shares later trade on the exchange. Early investors and employees may also be subject to lock-up arrangements that restrict when they can sell their shares. 

How to assess Anthropic after it lists 

Once the prospectus is available and Anthropic begins reporting as a public company, investors may wish to monitor: 

  • Revenue growth and customer retention 

  • Gross and operating margins 

  • Cash flow and capital expenditure 

  • Spending on computing infrastructure 

  • Market share relative to competitors 

  • Enterprise adoption 

  • New product launches 

  • Regulatory developments 

  • Insider selling and share unlocks 

Investors may also compare Anthropic with other listed technology and semiconductor companies. However, comparisons based only on revenue multiples can be misleading when companies have different growth rates, margins, capital requirements and business models. 

How to get exposure to the AI sector 

Investors who want exposure to the broader AI theme do not necessarily need to wait for an Anthropic IPO. 

Potential avenues may include: 

  • Listed technology companies involved in AI development 

  • Semiconductor manufacturers 

  • Cloud computing providers 

  • Data-centre operators 

  • Cybersecurity companies 

  • Artificial intelligence and robotics ETFs 

  • Diversified global equity ETFs 

These alternatives involve their own risks and may not provide direct exposure to Anthropic. 

Summary 

Anthropic has taken an important step towards a potential public listing by confidentially submitting a draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC. However, the company has not yet announced a final IPO date, share price or number of shares. 

For investors, the key issues will be Anthropic’s revenue growth, path to profitability, infrastructure costs, competitive position and corporate governance. 

The company operates in a high-growth industry, but its future value will depend on whether it can turn demand for AI products into durable earnings and cash flow. A strong brand or high private valuation does not guarantee a successful public-market investment. 

Investors should read the final prospectus, consider their investment objectives and financial situation, and assess the risks before making any investment decision. 

Disclaimer: This article provides general information only. It has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments, or as a recommendation and/or investment advice. It does not intend to support an investment decision, and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any financial instruments. You should consider your objectives, financial situation and needs before acting on the information in this article. CMC Markets believes that the information in this article is correct, and any opinions and conclusions are reasonably held or made on information available at the time of its compilation, but no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statements made in this article. CMC Markets is under no obligation to, and does not, update or keep current the information contained in this article. Neither CMC Markets nor any of its affiliates or subsidiaries accepts liability for loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this article. Any opinions or conclusions set forth in this article are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to the opinions or conclusions expressed by any other members of CMC Markets.