The US pulls the trump card

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Heightened market volatility is likely over the election period. Increased volatility means increased risk and spreads may widen. Check your margin cover, risk management and monitor positions.

US presidential election 2016

Latest news

Stay informed with the latest US election news from our global team of analysts and learn about its effect on the financial markets.

UK retail sales in focus as Trump effect starts to wane

It seems that just over a week after Mr Trump's surprise win, investors can’t decide whether the president-elect's intended plans to boost spending and cut taxes will boost inflation as much as currently anticipated.

Michael Hewson17 November 2016

Europe to open higher as Trump puts his team together

Once stock markets had absorbed the initial shock of last week's surprise win by Donald Trump in the US presidential election, the reaction was more positive than it was negative, though the sector polarisations were quite marked.

Michael Hewson14 November 2016

Trump dips his toe in the swamp

With a thin economic calendar for a number of countries, and as the post-election excitement dies down at the end of the week, volatility should begin to normalise. European markets look set for a positive open.

Jasper Lawler11 November 2016

Trade around the US election

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Post-election results

Read the reaction of our UK and US market analysts following the US election result.

What will be 'great again' in a Donald Trump presidency?

Market reaction ranged from the fierce to the subdued in the hours after Donald Trump's election victory. Jasper Lawler sifts through the fear-mongering and election rhetoric to look at the potential political, economic and market implications.

Jasper Lawler

Trump, the continuation of the Brexit trend?

This morning’s surprise win by the outsider Donald Trump is yet another example of the status quo being upended. Michael Hewson asks if this is the beginning of a new trend towards a rejection of the status quo, and is Europe next?

Michael Hewson

What does Trump's win mean for stocks, monetary policy and currencies?

Trump’s surprise win sent shockwaves around the world, with a big impact on the currencies of key trading partners Mexico and Canada. There has also been an effect on energy, health care, biotechnology and construction equipment as a new administration comes in with a mandate for major change.

Colin Cieszynski

Pre-election analysis

Find out who our market analysts thought would win the election and why, and read their view on the potential market reaction.  

Will the US election stem sterling’s declines?

The strength of the US dollar has been a factor in sterling’s decline, as investors gear up for a potential US rate increase at either its November or December meetings.

Michael Hewson

Could a close race be bad for the markets?

Monthly stock markets returns leading up to and following all the presidential elections since 1960 reveal some interesting patterns that could have significant implications for trading.

Colin Cieszynski

Rout or rise? Asia-Pacific markets and the US election

Insider versus outsider; establishment versus rebel; compassion versus pride. The 2016 US presidential election is one of the most polarised campaigns in living memory.

Michael McCarthy

How will the US election affect UK stocks?

With the FTSE 100, FTSE 250 and FTSE All Share equity indices all reaching record highs, is there any evidence that UK investors are scared of the election result?

Jasper Lawler

Trading major events like the US election

Trading is always about relating risk to reward and the US election will be no different. The best opportunities with major events can often be contrarian ones where markets are pretty much priced for one particular outcome.

Ric Spooner

How will the US election affect the DAX and EUR/USD?

Surveys show that both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have the lowest approval ratings of any campaign candidates that have ever run for president. A controversial campaign could soon prove to be an important influencing factor on market prices.

Jochen Stanzl

Chinese stocks and gold may rally on Trump winning

With only five weeks to go until the US presidential election, how the result would move the markets is one of the key factors to drive Chinese investor sentiment.

Tina Teng

Volatility set to pick up as election day nears

Equity markets have been cheerfully rallying, with a Trump victory becoming seen as less likely following the first two presidential debates.

Margaret Yang Yan

The only certainty in this election is uncertainty

Elections mean uncertainty and this is exactly what markets don’t like. Although markets may prefer Hillary Clinton because she’s a known quantity, they could also adapt to Donald Trump, particularly if he brings in pro-business policies.

Nicolas Cheron

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