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Should I Invest In Palantir Stock?

Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) has made its fair share of headlines, such as when it was contracted to help the U.S. Department of Health and the British National Health Service control the flow of coronavirus related data. Since its public debut, the stock has been on a bit of a rollercoaster ride, with a huge run-up followed by a cooling-off period over the past few months. Down more than 30% from its recent highs, we ask if Palantir is a good stock to invest in. 

This article was originally written by MyWallSt. Read more market-beating insights from the MyWallSt team here.


The bull case for Palantir

Palantir’s revenue comes in thick and fast from contracts predominantly agreed with governments and large enterprise clients. To showcase this, its average revenue per customer in 2020 was $7.9 million, up 41% year-over-year. Overall revenue for the year grew 47% to $1.1 billion. 44% of this figure comes from commercial clients, while 56% comes from governments. It closed a great year on a high thanks to 21 deals signed in Q4 of 2020 each worth $5 million or more, 12 of which were worth $10 million or more.

Palantir is a company that operates discreetly, yet it was instrumental in locating Osama Bin Laden in 2011 and is now a leading contractor for the new Brexit border in the U.K. In fact, Palantir has many surprising deals including one with the Nobel Peace Prize-winning World Food Programme. The company believes that its addressable market is worth $119 billion so it is likely to see more contracts like these in the future. 


The bear case for Palantir

For a company that has been around for 17 years, Palantir is still not profitable, though it is improving. At first glance, its $1.17 billion loss from operations in 2020 might seem daunting. However, the company awarded $1.27 billion in stock-based compensation throughout the year, as well as incurring one-off costs involved in its direct listing. This means that it actually had an adjusted operating income of $190 million for the year. It will be interesting to see if the business can officially become profitable in 2021.

While Palantir’s government contracts bring in some big revenue, there is also a reputational risk as it is now being linked to ethical issues through its government relationships. For example, the controversial U.S. deportation scheme ran by ICE uses Palantir technology. Unfortunately for the company, this presents a PR problem as the nature of deals with government bodies often require less transparency and more secrecy. Furthermore, other commercial company’s are likely to keep Palantir at an arms-length due to employee backlash over ethical concerns, such as Amazon back in 2019.


So, should I invest in Palantir stock?

Palantir is an interesting stock to look at, for whilst its technology has been vital for many world-changing organizations, such as the World Food Programme and COVID-19 resources, unfortunately, the company does not have much of a moral compass when it comes to deciding the purpose of its technology. Whilst operating in the grey areas of ethical issues brings in high revenue in the form of government contracts, it could present real problems for attracting a broader range of clients in the future. 


Quickfire round

  • What does ‘Palantir’ mean

The word Palantir comes from the Lord of The Rings book by J.R.R Tolkien and it is an unbreakable ball of crystal used to communicate with other Palantir wielders or see other parts of the world in the future, present, or past. 

  • Why Is Palantir Evil? 

People have taken a dislike to Palantir as the leaders of the company possess strongly held beliefs about needing more surveillance-tech for the world that we currently live in.

  • What is Palantir Gotham? 

Palantir Gotham is a platform that Palantir offers to integrate and transform all types of data and then meaningfully connect them into something tangible.


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Disclaimer Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only, and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.

CMC Markets does not endorse or offer opinion on the trading strategies used by the author. Their trading strategies do not guarantee any return and CMC Markets shall not be held responsible for any loss that you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein.

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