Wall Street managed to finish mixed following the US regulator's rescue package to limit SVB’s contagion to the broader economy. Bond yields plummeted as the well-known bank's failure strengthened bets for the US Federal Reserve to pause rate hikes in March.
A wider rippling effect may heighten the systemic risk and call the Fed to pause its rate-hike cycle. Markets are perhaps pricing for a financial crisis and a possible Fed pivot, ahead of key inflation data that is due for release later on Tuesday.
The US 2-year bond yield tumbled 57 basis points, the biggest one-day drop in decades, boosting risk sentiment in tech, and leading the Nasdaq to climb higher, while banking stocks continued to slump, with banks heavily relying on lending, such as Citigroup and Wells Fargo plunging more than 7%. The sell-off spread to European banks, leading the regional markets sharply lower. The volatility index jumped another 7% to above 26, the highest since early November.
The US dollar slipped for the third straight trading day following a slump in the bond yields, with risk-off sentiment firing up buying frenzy in gold and silver. On the other hand, oil prices tumbled as traders may see a possible sooner economic recession.
Asian markets are set to open sharply lower. The ASX futures fell 1.79%. Hang Seng index futures were down 0.29%, and Nikkei 225 futures fell 1.52%.Click to enlarge the table
Four out of 11 sectors in the S& P 500 finished lower, with financial stocks leading losses, down 3.78%. The energy, material, and industrial sector were also laggards, down 1.96%, 1.09%, and 0.61%, respectively. Notably, the growth sectors, including technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary outperformed amid a sharp decline in the bond yields. The defensive sectors, such as utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples also held up strongly.
HSBC’s shares slumped 3.9% following the £1 ($1.21) acquisition to take over SVB’s UK arm, excluding the assets and liabilities of SVB’s parent company. SVB UK had a loan of approximately £5.5 billion ($6.7 billion) and deposits of about £6.7 billion ($8.1 billion), with £88 million ($106.5 million) of full-year profit before tax in 2022 according to the HSBC statement last Friday.
Gold futures soared for the second straight trading day as a slump in the US dollar and US bonds boosted precious metal prices. Silver futures also surged 1.4 dollars per ounce, or 6.8%, to a one-month high. Risk-off sentiment also offered an upside push to gold prices.
Cryptocurrencies rose sharply on the Fed pivot bets, along with a drop in the dollar. Traders have shrugged off fears towards Silvergate’s liquidation risk, fuelled by the optimism for bets on a Fed policy turnaround. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum reached their highest level in almost a month.
Crude oil fell after bouncing session lows as a softened US dollar buffered its downside movement. Recession fears again become the major bearish factor for the energy markets. Key support for the WTI futures is seen around $70, the lowest since early December 2022.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets Singapore may provide or make available research analysis or reports prepared or issued by entities within the CMC Markets group of companies, located and regulated under the laws in a foreign jurisdictions, in accordance with regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where such information is issued or promulgated to a person who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor, CMC Markets Singapore accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analysis or report, to the extent required by law. Recipients of such information who are resident in Singapore may contact CMC Markets Singapore on 1800 559 6000 for any matters arising from or in connection with the information.