Bitcoin (BTC) halving is occurring on 11 May 2020. When bitcoin has halved in the past, price fluctuations usually follow. We look at what bitcoin halving is and how it can impact your cryptocurrency portfolio. We'll analyse BTC halving from a technical and fundamental perspective to give insight into what could happen and how to trade it.
What is bitcoin halving?
Bitcoin halving is an event where the block reward for mining new bitcoin is halved, meaning that bitcoin miners will receive 50% less bitcoin for every transaction they verify. BTC halving occurs every 210,000 blocks, which equates to a halving occurring approximately every 4 years.
Although this can sound confusing with concepts such as ‘block reward’ and ‘verifying transactions’, bitcoin halving is a relatively simple process.
When a block of bitcoin is successfully mined, the bitcoin miner receives a block reward – essentially a BTC payment. However, the bitcoin halving process follows cryptocurrency economic theory. As bitcoin has a finite amount and its supply is reduced over time, the price of bitcoin can be kept ‘stable’ and deflationary by reducing the overall supply – this is why bitcoin halving exists.
Bitcoin halving 2020
The next bitcoin-halving event is expected to occur the week commencing 11 May 2020. However, please note that this date can vary, as the time taken to generate new blocks can also vary. However, it's certain that bitcoin halving will occur when block 630,000 is mined.
Currently, 12.5 bitcoins are rewarded to miners per block. However, this will decrease to 6.25 BTC per block after the bitcoin halving event in 2020.
Historical bitcoin-halving dates
Bitcoin halving has occurred twice before. First in 2012, where the reward per block dropped from 50 to 25 bitcoins. Following this, another halving occurred in 2016, where the reward per block dropped from 25 to 12.5 bitcoins. See below for a more detailed explanation into the history of bitcoin halving and predictions for the future.
Halving | Date | Block | Block reward | Mined in period | % mined |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC launch | 3 January 2009 | 0 | 50 | 10,500,00 | 50 |
Halving 1 | 28 November 2012 | 210,000 | 25 | 5,250,000 | 75 |
Halving 2 | 9 July 2016 | 420,000 | 12.5 | 2,625,000 | 87.5 |
Halving 3 | 11 May 2020 | 630,000 | 6.25 | 1,312,500 | 93.75 |
Halving 4 | Expected 2024 | 840,000 | 3.125 | 656,250 | 96.875 |
Halving 5 | Expected 2028 | 1,050,000 | 1.5625 | 328,125 | 98.4375 |
Halving 6 | Expected 2032 | 1,260,000 | 0.78125 | 164,062.5 | 99.21875 |
As you can see from the above table, the amount of bitcoin mined and the block reward drops by half at every halving event. By 2032, over 99% of bitcoin will have been mined and it is estimated to take up until 2140 until 100% of the total bitcoin is mined.
Bitcoin halving: technical analysis
Technical analysts can use an array of tools to forecast price movements in the bitcoin market before and after the next bitcoin halving. You can use our pattern recognition scanner to identify trading patterns that bitcoin traders often look for, such as ascending triangles, head and shoulders and Fibonacci retracements.
