X

Choose your trading platfom

Short-term FX Technical Strategy (30 Mar 2022)

forex

EUR/USD – Cleared above 1.1000

(click to enlarge chart)

The EUR/USD has staged bullish breakout above the 1.1000 upper limit of the neutrality range yesterday and hit the resistance/target of 1.1120 as per highlighted yesterday.

Short-term elements have turned positive; bullish bias above 1.1040 key short-term pivotal support for further potential push up towards the next resistance at 1.1185 with 1.1235 as the max. However, a break with an hourly close below 1.1040 invalidates the bearish tone for a slide back to test minor range support of 1.0950 that has managed to stall the recent slide on 28 March.

GBP/USD – 1.3160 remains the key short-term resistance to watch

(click to enlarge chart)

The bounce seen on the GBP/USD from its intraday low of 1.3049 has managed to stall at the 1.3160 key short-term pivotal resistance as per highlighted yesterday. No change, maintain bearish bias below 1.3160 for another potential drop towards the 1.3030 support.

On the flipside, a clearance with an hourly close above 1.3160 negates the bearish tone for a corrective push up towards 1.3215 (the minor swing high areas of 24/25 March & former ascending channel support form 15 March 2022 low).

USD/JPY – Start of a potential multi-week corrective decline phase

(click to enlarge chart)

The USD/JPY has broken below the 122.40 key short-term pivotal support as per highlighted yesterday and invalidated the residual push up scenario towards the 125.30/80 major resistance zone. Right now, elements are advocating for a potential medium-term corrective decline phase to retrace the recent 2-weeks of steep up move that occurred on 11 March after the bullish breakout from the former long-term secular descending resistance from April 1990 high.

Flip to a bearish bias below 123.30 key short-term pivotal resistance for a further potential down move towards the next supports at 120.55 and 119.90. On the other hand, a clearance with an hourly close above 123.30 revives the bullish tone for a rally towards 125.30/80 major resistance.

AUD/USD – Still at risk of a minor pull-back

(click to enlarge chart)

The AUD/USD has traded sideways in a tight range of 65 pips since Monday, 28 March which tends to precede an impending potential short-term significant breakout move. Maintain bearish bias below 0.7560 key medium-term pivotal resistance for a potential drop towards the next support at 0.7415 in the first step.

However, a clearance with a 4-hour close above 0.7560 sees the continuation of the medium-term impulsive up move sequence towards the next resistances at 0.7640 and 0.7690.

Time stamped: 30 Mar 2022 at 11.30 am SGT

Source: TradingView


Disclaimer: CMC Markets Singapore may provide or make available research analysis or reports prepared or issued by entities within the CMC Markets group of companies, located and regulated under the laws in a foreign jurisdictions, in accordance with regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where such information is issued or promulgated to a person who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor, CMC Markets Singapore accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the analysis or report, to the extent required by law. Recipients of such information who are resident in Singapore may contact CMC Markets Singapore on 1800 559 6000 for any matters arising from or in connection with the information.

Hello, we noticed that you’re in the UK.

The content on this page is not intended for UK customers. Please visit our UK website.

Go to UK site