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Market rebounds, RBA rate decision in focus

CMC Markets

Wall Street embraced a huge rebound overnight, paring some losses from the previous week as the world’s most systemically important central banks are ready to ease.

BOJ purchased over 100 billion yen of ETFs yesterday and conducted a second day repo-operation to buy 500 billion yen of Japanese government debt today. The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rate in the upcoming FOMC meeting on 18th March, and the futures market points to a 50bps cut as recession fears ramped up recently.

RBA is going to release its interest rate decision at 11:30am Singapore time. The market has seemly priced-in a rate cut scenario given the rapidly deteriorating business sentiment due to coronavirus’s global impact. Futures market priced in 27 bps of cuts to the 0.75% cash rate at the end of Monday, according to Bloomberg. AUD/USD has rebounded along with risk assets overnight, and there is probably little juice for short bets now as a cut decision has more or less been baked-in. In the event of a hold decision, Aussie is likely to strengthen sharply. 

S&P 500 index soared 4.61%, lifted by utilities (+5.86%), information technology (+5.70%), consumer staples (+5.48%), real estates (+5.06%) and financials (+4.87%).

Crude oil prices extended a second-day rally as market sentiment improves. Rising oil prices also reflect improved outlook of oil demand, as business activities are gradually back to business as usual in most parts of China. Technically, Brent has found strong support at US$ 51.0 area and since rebounded. Immediate resistance level can be found at US$54.7 and then US$ 57.2 area.

AUD/USD

 


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