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Asia Pacific indicesAustralia 200 appeared to be staging an upturn yesterday, rallying back up through 5,555, a Fibonacci level, but still waiting for the RSI to retake 50 for confirmation. The next potential resistance is near 5,600 then a Fibonacci cluster near 5,655. Japan 225 regained 20,225 but ran into resistance near 20,250 as it continues to bounce around between 20,000 and 20,665. RSI holding 50 confirms the underlying uptrend is still intact. Hong Kong 43 is trying to stabilise above 27,000, trading near 27,150, but it remains in a downtrend of lower highs below 27,330, while RSI indicates downward pressure is still increasing. Downside support is in place near 26,745, a Fibonacci level. Hong Kong China H-Shares are holding above the 13,650 Fibonacci support, trading in the 13,800-to-13,860, area but RSI under 50 and falling indicates a downtrend is still emerging. The next potential support is near 13,550 then 13,205. India 50 is breaking down again, taking out 8,080 and 8,000 after failing short of 8,200 again. It is currently trading near 7,960 with the next measured support possible near 7,800. RSI confirms downward pressure is increasing.
North American IndicesUS30 has climbed back above 18,000, driving up toward 18,110 before falling back into the 18,030-to-18,070 zone. RSI is nearing 50 again, where a breakout would confirm an upswing is underway within a broader 17,777-to-18,360 trading range. US NDAQ 100 is bumping up against the 4,500 resistance again, with a run at the 4,555 channel top possible on a breakout. RSI back above 50 suggests momentum is turning upward. Support rises toward 4,490. US SPX 500 is holding in the 2,100-to-2,112 range, consolidating yesterday’s rally with the next potential resistance near 2,120 then 2,135. RSI regaining 50 suggests the recent selloff has ended and a rebound is under way.
UK and European indicesUK 100 continues to rebound with support moving back up toward 6,800. Trading near 6,850, it still needs to clear 6,900 to confirm an upturn. RSI suggests downward pressure easing a bit. Germany 30 has moved up into a channel between two Fibonacci levels near 11,180 and 11,440, currently trading in the 11,310-to-11,350 range. RSI indicates downward pressure relenting somewhat.
CommoditiesGold is bouncing around between $1,180 and $1,190, trying to decide whether to stage a stronger recovery or roll over and resume its downtrend. RSI still being under 50 suggests downward momentum is still prevailing overall. Crude Oil WTI has started to struggle, unable to make much headway beyond the $60.00 level, with resistance coming in near $61.00, a lower high. RSI faltering near 60 indicates sideways momentum is intact, within a $57.50-to-$61.50 channel.
FXUS Dollar Index has stabilised above 95 00, calling off yesterday’s breakdown, but still faces upside resistance near 95.55 then 96.40. RSI still sitting under 50 suggests momentum is neutral to downward. NZD/USD is sitting on the $0.7000 round number, trying to decide which way to turn from here. It could rebound toward $0.7070 or even $0.7200, or retest $0.6970, where a break would signal the start of another downleg, with the next measured support near $0.6930. AUD/NZD is consolidating yesterday’s massive rally that blasted through $1.0915 and carried on through $1.1000 to $1.1075 before slipping back to pause at a Fibonacci cluster near $1.1050. A negative RSI divergence suggests the recent uptrend may be nearing exhaustion. AUD/USD keeps creeping higher within the $0.7600-to-$0.7815 range, where it has been base building. RSI gaining on 50 suggests an upturn in momentum is pending. The next potential resistance on a breakout is near the $0.8000 round number. USD/JPY bounced around in a wide range between 122.50 and 124.40, both Fibonacci levels, before stabilising in the 123.30-to-123.60 area. RSI holding 50 suggests overbought conditions easing and that the underlying uptrend is still intact. EUR/JPY has paused near 139.00 within a 137.90-to-140.70 zone between two Fibonacci levels where it has been consolidating recent gains and working off an overbought RSI.
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