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Pinterest’s share price rallies on monetisation efforts

By 7 July, Pinterest’s [PINS] share price had climbed for a six session straight to close at $25.85.

After falling 41.4% from the start of the year to a low of $10.92 in mid-March, Pinterest’s share price recovered, climbing 103% to end the first half at  $22.17.

While shares in Pinterest’s share price currently trade 29.29% off its all-time high of $36.56 reached on 21 August 2019, the stock is above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

Can Pinterest’s share price continue climbing? 


Digital ad spend shows signs of recovery 

Pinterest’s isn’t the only social media stock to have seen a share price rally recently.

Rivals Facebook [FB], Snapchat [SNAP] and Twitter [TWTR] are up 6.1%, 5.6% and 10.7%, respectively, since the start of the month (through 7 July).

The renewed optimism in digital advertising spend — what social media stocks rely on for revenue — is one of the likely catalysts behind the rally.  

Daniel Knapp, chief economist at IAB, told Digiday that while digital display ad spending in Europe was down 38% year-over-year in April, it improved slightly in May, declining just 25—28% on the year prior. 

Knapp expected it to continue to improve on the basis that both GDP and consumer confidence sustains demand. 

However, according to a second quarter report from eMarketer, global digital ad spending is expected to decline 4.9% this year, compared to last year’s 6.3% growth.

In the company’s first quarter earnings report in May, Ben Silbermann, CEO of Pinterest, cited the impact of COVID-19 on the businesses of its advertisers. However, revenue still came in at $272m — a 35% year-over-year increase. 


Pinterest's Q1 revenue

However, the company reported a net loss of $141m, a 241% year-over-year change. The results release sent Pinterest’s share price down 2.89% on 5 May.

Partnerships and ad expansion attracts bulls

It’s unclear whether the company has a path to profitability but with a strong balance sheet of $1.7bn in cash, Pinterest has strong financials in line with its tech giant peers. 

Pinterest’s global monthly active users grew 26% year-over-year to 367 million in the first quarter, indicating the company remains an attractive platform for advertisers. 

The recent partnership with Shopify [SHOP] to create a Pinterest app on Shopify’s platform will allow merchants to turn their products into shoppable “Product Pins” is expected to be a major tailwind for Pinterest’s advertising revenue. 

Lloyd Walmsley, analyst at Deutsche Bank, believes the partnership has improved the platform’s shopping experience significantly, according to SmarterAnalyst.  

He expects that for every 10% of Shopify merchants that onboard, $117m could be generated in ad revenue. 

“We see new ad product setting the stage for a strong H2 as the company's automated bidding for traffic objectives, which was rolled out in 1Q 2020, scales over the course of the year and the product rolls out for performance objectives,” Walmsley said.


Walmsley's projection for Pinterest ad revenue for every 10% of onboarded Shopify merchants

Walmsley rated the stock a buy and raised his price target from $20 to $27 on 8 July. 

Its renewed focus on boosting ad revenue has attracted more bullish calls from investors and traders.

During Mad Money in mid-June, market commentator Jim Cramer made a buy call on Pinterest after noting that the stock had gone down “unnecessarily”. The tech stock is rumoured to be one of Cramer’s favourites, according to Market Realist.

Looking at the bigger picture, among 27 analysts polled by CNN the consensus is to hold the stock. This rating was given by 16 analysts, while 8 rated it a buy, two and outperform and one a sell.

Disclaimer Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

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