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News

Resources retreat as broader markets digest Brexit reports

World stock markets were mixed overnight but are ‎holding steady this morning, between Brexit developments. The resource-weighted Australian market was the top performer, gaining 0.4%, while the Nikkei fell 0.4%. European indices and US index futures are pretty much flat this morning. 

In currency markets GBP and EUR remain in the spotlight between yesterday's official triggering of Article 50 to start the Brexit process ‎and the first official response from the EU expected tomorrow. Germany put out a report suggesting the the UK would be worse off than the EU after Brexit, but what else are they going to say? That is the kind of report where people write the conclusion first and then work backwards. 

Sterling is outperforming the euro for a second straight day, indicating traders think Brexit will be better for the UK. ‎UK prime minister Theresa May including security issues in her plans reminds traders that th UK has its own areas of leverage in negotiations. Meanwhile, a poll showing 62% of Scots support the UK Government's positions on trade and immigration weakens the case for another independence vote.

Resources have dropped back a bit overnight in what looks like a normal trading correction with copper down 0.5% and crude oil down 0.4%‎. Gold is also down slightly. Based on this, we could see some softness in mining and energy stocks today. Natural gas could be active around the mid-morning weekly storage report. 

Today brings US GDP which probably won't have an impact unless there is a big surprise. Similarly with so many Fed speakers this week, today's group may not spark a significant reaction unless someone seriously deviates from the party line. German consumer prices and Canada producer prices may attract some attention as they could show whether inflation pressures on central banks are growing or shrinking. 

In Canada, Dollarama could be active after the retailer handily beat the street on both sales ($854M vs street $842M) and earnings ($1.24 vs street $1.12), raised its dividend by 10%, raised its long-term store growth target to 1,700 from 1,400 and indicated plans to start accepting credit cards.  


Corporate news

Dollarama    $1.24 vs street $1.12, sales $854M vs street $842M, 10% dividend increase, increases long-term store target to 1,700 form 1,400, to start accepting credit cards in Q2.

Economic news

Significant announcements released overnight include:

Norway retail sales        1.0% vs street 0.1%

Upcoming significant economic announcements include:

1:00 pm BST        Germany consumer prices    street 1.8% vs previous 2.2%

8:30 am EDT        Canada industrial prices        street 0.4%
8:30 am EDT        Canada raw material prices    street 0.9% vs previous 1.7%

8:30 am EDT        US Q4 GDP update        street 2.0%
8:30 am EDT        US Q4 core PCE inflation    street 1.2%

8:30 am EDT        US jobless claims        street 247K 

10:30 am EDT         US natural gas            street (43 BCF)

9:45 am EDT        FOMC Mester speaking
11:00 am EDT        FOMC Kaplan speaking
4:30 pm EDT        FOMC Dudley speaking


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Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only, and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.