Relief rally in Europe on mixed election results
19:00, 04 December 2016
· By CMC Markets
Stock markets in Europe and North America are off to a strong start this week. US index futures, and the FTSE are up 0.4% while the Dax is up a screaming 1.5%. Italy's FTSEMIB is down 0.4%.
Weekend votes in Europe have been in focus overnight. Italian PM Renzi resigned after his reform package was crushed in a 59.1% to 40.9% massive defeat. The opposition Five Star party is now calling for national elections.
The Euroskeptics didn't run the table, however, as the pro-Europe candidate won in Austria's Presidential election. Traders have taken this to suggest is not completely unravelling at the seams (yet) and that the establishment isn't going to roll over. An easing of political risk concerns has the Euro trading higher this morning and gold lower.
Crude oil is up again today gaining 1.0% reaching it's highest level since the summer of 2015. Traders remain encouraged by the recent OPEC deal heading into its meeting with non-OPEC producers later this week. CAD is steady on the news with the street looking ahead to Wednesday's Bank of Canada meeting. Natural gas is up 2.9% as winter arrives. These gains could spark renewed interest in energy stocks today.
Today is the last day of Fed speakers before the blackout heading into next week’s meeting starts. Today’s group is not expected to rock the boat for December but the number of hikes next year remains an open question. Service PMI figures may also attract some attention.
There have been no major corporate announcements this morning.
UK service PMI 55.2 vs street 54.0
Germany service PMI 55.1 vs street 55.0
France service PMI 51.6 vs street 52.6
Italy service PMI 53.4 vs street 51.6
Spain service PMI 55.1 vs street 55.0
Sweden service PMI 59.8 vs previous 57.6
China Caixin service PMI 53.1 vs previous 52.4
Japan service PMI 51.8 vs previous 50.5
Upcoming significant economic announcements include:
8:30 am EST FOMC Dudley speaking
9:10 am EST FOMC Evans speaking
2:05 pm EST FOMC Bullard speaking
9:45 am EST US Markit service PMI street 54.8
10:00 am EST US ISM non-manufacturing PMI street 55.5
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