The chaos in Catalonia yesterday on the back of the referendum on independence has sent the Spanish stock market lower. 

Violent clashes between the police and voters has spooked investors, and money is flowing out of the country on account of it. Thanks to the heavy-handed response from Madrid, the Catalonian question has now become even more divisive.

The Spanish market is the standout under performer in Europe, currently down 1%. In contrast, the UK's FTSE 100 has pushed above the 7400 mark – a level not seen since mid-September. The DAX and the CAC 40 have also continued their positive moves, reaching fresh multi-month highs.

Barratt Development, Persimmon and Taylor Wimpey are some of the biggest gainers on the FTSE 100 after Theresa May pledged an extra £10 billion for theHelp to Buy scheme.

An increase in the growth rate of Chinese manufacturing and non-manufacturing figures over the weekend has driven up the share price of Anglo American, Glencore and Rio Tinto. China is a major importer of basic resources so there is often a strong correlation between China’s economy and their profits.  

The GBP/USD pair dropped overnight on account of the strong US dollar, and the slight cooling of UK manufacturing in September put extra pressure on the pound. The British manufacturing PMI report came in at 55.9, down from August’s reading of 56.9.

We are expecting the Dow Jones to open 21 points higher at 22,426, and we are calling the S&P 500 up 1 point at 2520.

At 3pm (UK time), the US will announce the ISM manufacturing report and the consensus is for a reading of 58, and that compares with August’s reading of 58.8.

Robert Kaplan, of the US Federal Reserve, is due to speak at 7pm. Last month Mr Kaplan stated that the US central bank should be ‘patient’ when it comes to hiking interest rates.


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