Earlier in October we discussed the possibility of a gold rally towards USD$1235 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) in a higher risk aversion environment, and a potential MACD bullish crossover. Since then, gold prices initially entered a consolidation phase until the inflection point at $1235 was breached this week, on higher geopolitical uncertainties and market volatility. The potential for a further rally in gold prices could be ahead.
On a daily chart, a candle appeared with a rejection tail above the level of USD$1235, suggesting the grounds for more upward movement could be fortifying. The MACD (12, 26, 9) signals a ramp-up of momentum. A risk-off mode or a softer US dollar could see gold prices move towards the critical psychological level at USD$ 1250, and the next to level watch could be at USD$ 1265.